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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Caringbah weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 28° in Caringbah today. Tomorrow: showers, around 33°, with a 94% chance of rain.

28°16°
33°18°
21°14°
22°12°
24°11°
23°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Clear
Feels 21° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 85%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Overcast
Feels 22° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 78%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Mainly clear
Feels 21° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 79%

Latest for Caringbah: European (ECMWF): 19° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 21° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 20° Mainly clear.

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Caringbah weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Caringbah swings 17°C across the year, from 25°C highs in January to 8°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1120 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
25°C average high
Coldest month
July
8°C average low
Wettest month
February
1120 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Caringbah and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Caringbah hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Caringbah 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
28° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
33° 18°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±4°
Wed
Partly cloudy
24° 11°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
23° 15°
±7°
Sat
Light rain
28° 16°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 13°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
30° 15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 15°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
23° 14°
±7°

Caringbah, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 8°C), with roughly 1120 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Caringbah right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Caringbah climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
25°
19°
Feb
25°
18°
Mar
25°
17°
Apr
22°
14°
May
19°
11°
Jun
17°
9°
Jul
16°
8°
Aug
17°
8°
Sep
20°
9°
Oct
22°
12°
Nov
23°
15°
Dec
25°
17°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Caringbah has changed since 1995

Caringbah sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sydney. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Sydney page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Caringbah?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
78
/100rank #1
62±2.1°C89±5.4 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
78
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C95±2.5 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
67±1.8°C93±3.6 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°27° to 29°±34%3% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±1°33° to 33°±46%48% to 94% chance
Mon±2°20° to 22°±18%69% to 87% chance
Tue±4°21° to 25°±56%15% to 71% chance
Wed±7°20° to 27°±56%9% to 65% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Caringbah

today, local time
Sunrise
06:04
Sunset
19:16
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Caringbah today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 28° in Caringbah today. Tomorrow: showers, around 33°, with a 94% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Caringbah today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Caringbah on Sunday 25 October: European 75%, American 94%, German 48%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 37%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Caringbah?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Caringbah (CheckWeather Score 78/100), ahead of the German at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Caringbah?
January is typically the warmest month in Caringbah, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Caringbah get?
The coldest month in Caringbah is July, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Caringbah get?
Caringbah sees roughly 1120 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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