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CheckWeather AUCaringbah South
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Caringbah South weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Caringbah South today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 65% chance of rain.

22°13°
23°11°
17°11°
17°
17°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Clear
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Caringbah South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
25°
models agree
Mon
Clear
30° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
21° 10°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
18°
±5°
Fri
Clear
28°
±5°
Sat
Clear
27° 14°
±4°

Caringbah South is a small town of about 12,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 34.1°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Caringbah South with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Caringbah, Cronulla, Miranda.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Caringbah South?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C92±3.8 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C96±2.0 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C95±2.4 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°21° to 23°±25%40% to 65% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°±24%14% to 38% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°±38%3% to 41% chance
Thu±2°16° to 18°±12%0% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Caringbah South

today, local time
Sunrise
06:08
Sunset
17:40
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Caringbah South today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Caringbah South today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Caringbah South today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Caringbah South and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Caringbah South?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Caringbah South (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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