Cairns weather
Loading live data…Cloudy,much the same tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 28° in Cairns today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 28°, with a 22% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Cairns and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitCairns, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Cairns right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Cairns's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Cairns weather by month
what to expect in Cairns through the yearHere is Cairns's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Cairns by season.
What Cairns's weather is like through the year
Cairns runs from warm summers, with January highs near 31°C, to cool winters, when August lows sit around 17°C (a swing of about 14°C across the year). December is usually the wettest month, and Cairns sees roughly 2395 mm of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Cairns
The most comfortable time to visit Cairns is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.
Which forecast is most accurate in Cairns?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Cairns, scoring 92/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 88. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.