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CheckWeather AUCairns City
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Cairns City weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 28° in Cairns City today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 28°, with a 22% chance of rain.

28°16°
28°14°
29°19°
28°20°
27°19°
25°19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
27°
Cloudy
Today 27°·Low 16°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Cloudy
Today 28°·Low 16°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
28°
Cloudy
Today 28°·Low 15°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Cairns City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
28° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
28° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
29° 19°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
28° 20°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
27° 19°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
25° 19°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
25° 19°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
25° 18°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
26° 17°
models agree
Tue
Clear
27° 17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
27° 16°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
27° 16°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
25° 18°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
24° 18°
models agree

Cairns City, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 31°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 17°C), with roughly 2395 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Cairns City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Cairns City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
31°
24°
Feb
30°
24°
Mar
30°
24°
Apr
29°
23°
May
26°
20°
Jun
26°
18°
Jul
25°
18°
Aug
25°
17°
Sep
27°
19°
Oct
29°
20°
Nov
30°
21°
Dec
31°
24°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cairns City?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C93±3.5 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
74±1.4°C94±3.0 km/t100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
69
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C95±2.6 km/t4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°27° to 28°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°27° to 29°±22%0% to 22% chance
Tue±1°29° to 30°±35%10% to 45% chance
Wed±2°27° to 29°±64%4% to 68% chance
Thu±2°26° to 28°±56%11% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cairns City

today, local time
Sunrise
06:19
Sunset
18:11
Daylight
11h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cairns City today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Cairns City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cairns City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Cairns City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cairns City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cairns City (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cairns City?
January is typically the warmest month in Cairns City, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Cairns City get?
The coldest month in Cairns City is August, when overnight lows average about 17°C.
How much rain does Cairns City get?
Cairns City sees roughly 2395 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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