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Busselton weekend weather

This weekend in Busselton, Western Australia, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 14° across the weekend. Agreement is high — unusually solid for this far out.

Tomorrow

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Cloudy
High 14°·Low ·Rain 18%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Cloudy
High 14°·Low ·Rain 3%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Cloudy
High 14°·Low ·Rain 3%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Cloudy
High 14°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Cloudy
High 14°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Cloudy
High 14°·Low ·Rain 0%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 19°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 14°±15%3% to 18% chance
Sun±1°14° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°17° to 18°±43%18% to 61% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±37%30% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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