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CheckWeather AUBurleigh Waters
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Burleigh Waters weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Burleigh Waters's high today between 31° and 35°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 24°, with a 8% chance of rain.

33°17°
24°14°
21°14°
23°12°
20°14°
22°13°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
31°
Cloudy
Today 31°·Low 17°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
35°
Cloudy
Today 35°·Low 18°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
33°
Partly cloudy
Today 33°·Low 17°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Burleigh Waters and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
33° 17°
±5°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 12°
±2°
Thu
Drizzle
20° 14°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
22° 13°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
26° 15°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 14°
±9°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Clear
24° 12°
±3°

Burleigh Waters is a small town of about 14,000 people in Queensland, sitting at 28.1°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Burleigh Waters with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Varsity Lakes, Burleigh Heads, Reedy Creek.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Burleigh Waters?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.3 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C95±2.7 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
72
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C93±3.6 km/t4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°31° to 35°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±5%3% to 8% chance
Tue±3°20° to 23°±64%8% to 72% chance
Wed±2°21° to 23°±47%4% to 51% chance
Thu±3°19° to 22°±63%23% to 86% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Burleigh Waters

today, local time
Sunrise
05:54
Sunset
17:34
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Burleigh Waters today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Burleigh Waters today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Burleigh Waters today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Burleigh Waters and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Burleigh Waters?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Burleigh Waters (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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