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CheckWeather USWichita
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

Wichita weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in Wichita today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 99°, with a 17% chance of rain.

100°78°
99°78°
100°78°
103°82°
102°82°
92°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
100°
Partly cloudy
Today 100°·Low 77°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
100°
Cloudy
Today 100°·Low 77°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Cloudy
Today 99°·Low 79°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wichita and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
100° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
99° 78°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
100° 78°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
103° 82°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
102° 82°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
92° 75°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
96° 73°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
100° 80°
±8°
Sun
Drizzle
92° 69°
±14°
Mon
Light drizzle
77° 60°
±11°
Tue
Light drizzle
82° 60°
±11°
Wed
Clear
85° 64°
±13°
Thu
Clear
82° 65°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
86° 66°
models agree

Wichita, KS is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 31 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wichita right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wichita climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
41°
25°
Feb
54°
31°
Mar
59°
38°
Apr
71°
49°
May
78°
58°
Jun
88°
68°
Jul
90°
71°
Aug
91°
71°
Sep
85°
64°
Oct
74°
53°
Nov
56°
40°
Dec
49°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Wichita?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.6 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree99° to 100°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°98° to 101°±11%6% to 17% chance
Mon±1°99° to 100°±3%5% to 8% chance
Tue±6°100° to 106°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±8°97° to 105°±11%32% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wichita

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
19:52
Daylight
12h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wichita today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Wichita today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wichita today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Wichita and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wichita?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wichita (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wichita?
August is typically the warmest month in Wichita, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Wichita get?
The coldest month in Wichita is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Wichita get?
Wichita sees roughly 31 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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