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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Waukegan weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 66° in Waukegan today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 71°, with a 6% chance of rain.

66°49°
71°51°
61°51°
61°51°
70°53°
68°53°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
51°
Partly cloudy
Feels 49° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
49°
Mainly clear
Feels 45° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
52°
Overcast
Feels 48° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 80%

Latest for Waukegan: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 51° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 49° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 52° Overcast.

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Waukegan weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Waukegan weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Waukegan swings 61°F across the year, from 78°F highs in July to 17°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 39 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 69 days a year at 77°F or above, 16 of them at 86°F or above, 109 frost nights, and rain on 125 days.

Warmest month
July
78°F average high
Coldest month
January
17°F average low
Wettest month
August
39 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
88,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
81/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
69 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
109 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
125 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Waukegan’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Waukegan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Waukegan hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Waukegan 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
66° 49°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
71° 51°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
61° 51°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
61° 51°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
70° 53°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
68° 53°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
66° 51°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
68° 55°
±10°
Sun
Light drizzle
64° 52°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
59° 42°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
46° 40°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
52° 39°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
57° 41°
±13°

Waukegan, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 78°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 17°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Waukegan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Waukegan climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
17°
Feb
35°
19°
Mar
43°
29°
Apr
54°
38°
May
65°
48°
Jun
76°
59°
Jul
78°
64°
Aug
78°
64°
Sep
71°
58°
Oct
59°
45°
Nov
45°
33°
Dec
34°
24°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Waukegan has changed since 1995

Waukegan sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Kenosha. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Kenosha page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Waukegan?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F95±1.7 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
78
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F95±1.7 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°65° to 67°±1%3% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±4°70° to 73°±3%3% to 6% chance
Mon±3°59° to 62°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°60° to 62°±23%1% to 24% chance
Wed±4°68° to 72°±12%8% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Waukegan

today, local time
Sunrise
07:15
Sunset
17:55
Daylight
10h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Waukegan today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 66° in Waukegan today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 71°, with a 6% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Waukegan today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Waukegan on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 6% (NWS 3%, American 3%, European 6%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 4%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Waukegan?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Waukegan (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the European at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Waukegan?
July is typically the warmest month in Waukegan, with average highs around 78°F.
How cold does Waukegan get?
The coldest month in Waukegan is January, when overnight lows average about 17°F.
How much rain does Waukegan get?
Waukegan sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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