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CheckWeather USWaterloo
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Waterloo weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Waterloo today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 81°, with a 26% chance of rain.

84°70°
81°68°
80°64°
88°67°
82°67°
79°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
85°
Cloudy
Today 85°·Low 71°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 69°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Thunderstorm
Today 84°·Low 70°·Rain 49%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Waterloo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
84° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
81° 68°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
80° 64°
models agree
Tue
Showers
88° 67°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
82° 67°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
79° 59°
±8°
Fri
Mostly clear
84° 61°
±21°
Sat
Showers
81° 64°
±6°
Sun
Light rain
68° 58°
±11°
Mon
Drizzle
67° 54°
±13°
Tue
Drizzle
70° 52°
±11°
Wed
Partly cloudy
72° 49°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
73° 52°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
70° 56°
models agree

Waterloo, IA is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 16°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Waterloo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Waterloo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
16°
Feb
43°
22°
Mar
48°
29°
Apr
60°
40°
May
74°
52°
Jun
82°
63°
Jul
81°
64°
Aug
82°
64°
Sep
79°
59°
Oct
65°
48°
Nov
48°
34°
Dec
38°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Waterloo?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F94±1.8 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°83° to 85°±48%1% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±2°80° to 82°±23%3% to 26% chance
Mon±2°80° to 82°±2%2% to 4% chance
Tue±1°87° to 88°±2%73% to 75% chance
Wed±3°80° to 83°±14%75% to 89% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Waterloo

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
19:36
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Waterloo today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Waterloo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Waterloo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Waterloo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Waterloo?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Waterloo (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Waterloo?
June is typically the warmest month in Waterloo, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Waterloo get?
The coldest month in Waterloo is January, when overnight lows average about 16°F.
How much rain does Waterloo get?
Waterloo sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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