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CheckWeather USWarwick
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Warwick weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Warwick today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 69°, with a 90% chance of rain.

73°63°
69°59°
76°56°
80°60°
76°62°
79°67°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Drizzle
Today 73°·Low 62°·Rain 21%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 63°·Rain 21%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Light drizzle
Today 73°·Low 63°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Warwick and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
73° 63°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
69° 59°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
76° 56°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
80° 60°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
76° 62°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
79° 67°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
76° 62°
±13°
Sat
Clear
76° 59°
±10°
Sun
Partly cloudy
79° 62°
±11°
Mon
Mostly clear
82° 66°
±18°
Tue
Drizzle
76° 63°
±13°
Wed
Light drizzle
78° 61°
±14°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 58°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
69° 56°
±9°

Warwick, RI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 27°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Warwick right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Warwick climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
42°
30°
Feb
43°
27°
Mar
49°
34°
Apr
59°
42°
May
67°
51°
Jun
76°
61°
Jul
83°
70°
Aug
79°
65°
Sep
73°
60°
Oct
65°
50°
Nov
53°
39°
Dec
44°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Warwick?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F93±2.2 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.9 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°73° to 74°±77%21% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±2°68° to 70°±52%38% to 90% chance
Mon±1°76° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°78° to 82°±26%1% to 27% chance
Wed±6°73° to 79°±2%14% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Warwick

today, local time
Sunrise
06:15
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Warwick today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Warwick today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Warwick today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Warwick and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Warwick?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Warwick (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Warwick?
July is typically the warmest month in Warwick, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Warwick get?
The coldest month in Warwick is February, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Warwick get?
Warwick sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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