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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Warwick weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 59° in Warwick today. Tomorrow: clear, around 63°, with a 0% chance of rain.

59°36°
63°39°
68°43°
55°40°
53°36°
61°41°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
43°
Clear
Feels 39° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
41°
Overcast
Feels 35° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 76%
EuropeanECMWF
42°
Partly cloudy
Feels 36° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 71%

Latest for Warwick: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 43° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 41° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 42° Partly cloudy.

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Warwick weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Warwick…

Warwick weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Warwick swings 57°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 24°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 78 days a year at 77°F or above, 17 of them at 86°F or above, 90 frost nights, and rain on 128 days.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
February
24°F average low
Wettest month
March
50 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
82,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
78 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
90 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
128 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Warwick’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Warwick and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Warwick hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Warwick 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
59° 36°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
63° 39°
models agree
Mon
Clear
68° 43°
models agree
Tue
Clear
55° 40°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
53° 36°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
61° 41°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
67° 48°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
61° 46°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
60° 46°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
62° 48°
±10°
Tue
Cloudy
65° 48°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
55° 39°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
56° 36°
models agree

Warwick, Rhode Island (RI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 24°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Warwick right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Warwick climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
38°
26°
Feb
40°
24°
Mar
46°
31°
Apr
57°
40°
May
66°
50°
Jun
75°
60°
Jul
81°
68°
Aug
79°
65°
Sep
72°
59°
Oct
63°
48°
Nov
52°
38°
Dec
42°
30°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Warwick has changed since 1995

Warwick sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Fall River. That square ran 1.7°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Fall River page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Warwick?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F93±2.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F92±2.4 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°59° to 60°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°62° to 64°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°67° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°54° to 56°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±3°51° to 54°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Warwick

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
17:50
Daylight
10h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Warwick today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 59° in Warwick today. Tomorrow: clear, around 63°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Warwick today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Warwick on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Warwick?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Warwick (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Warwick?
July is typically the warmest month in Warwick, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Warwick get?
The coldest month in Warwick is February, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Warwick get?
Warwick sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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