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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Walnut Creek weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 72° in Walnut Creek today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 0% chance of rain.

72°50°
72°49°
67°51°
66°49°
65°49°
65°49°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Clear
Today 73°·Low 49°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 49°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Clear
Today 70°·Low 52°·Rain 0%
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Walnut Creek weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Walnut Creek weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Walnut Creek swings 45°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 43°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 19 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 129 days a year at 77°F or above, 54 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 56 days.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
43°F average low
Wettest month
January
19 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and May
Residents
69,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
129 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
56 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Walnut Creek’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Walnut Creek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Walnut Creek hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Walnut Creek 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
72° 50°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
72° 49°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
67° 51°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
66° 49°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
65° 49°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
65° 49°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
63° 49°
±12°
Sat
Cloudy
66° 48°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
67° 49°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
66° 53°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 54°
±14°
Wed
Cloudy
70° 52°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
69° 55°
±11°

Walnut Creek, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 43°F), with roughly 19 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Walnut Creek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Walnut Creek climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
56°
43°
Feb
60°
44°
Mar
62°
47°
Apr
69°
47°
May
75°
53°
Jun
82°
57°
Jul
88°
59°
Aug
85°
59°
Sep
82°
58°
Oct
76°
53°
Nov
63°
47°
Dec
56°
43°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Walnut Creek has changed since 1995

Walnut Creek sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Concord. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Concord page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Walnut Creek?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
95
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F96±1.3 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°70° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°70° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°65° to 69°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±2°65° to 67°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±2°64° to 66°±3%1% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Walnut Creek

today, local time
Sunrise
07:25
Sunset
18:18
Daylight
10h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Walnut Creek today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 72° in Walnut Creek today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Walnut Creek today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Walnut Creek on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Walnut Creek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Walnut Creek (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 95. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Walnut Creek?
July is typically the warmest month in Walnut Creek, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Walnut Creek get?
The coldest month in Walnut Creek is January, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Walnut Creek get?
Walnut Creek sees roughly 19 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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