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Valparaiso weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Valparaiso and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Valparaiso, IN is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Valparaiso right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Valparaiso climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
23°
Feb
46°
27°
Mar
49°
31°
Apr
61°
41°
May
73°
52°
Jun
82°
61°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
77°
58°
Oct
65°
48°
Nov
51°
37°
Dec
41°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Valparaiso?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F96±1.3 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Valparaiso today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Valparaiso today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Valparaiso today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Valparaiso and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Valparaiso?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Valparaiso (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Valparaiso?
June is typically the warmest month in Valparaiso, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Valparaiso get?
The coldest month in Valparaiso is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Valparaiso get?
Valparaiso sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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