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CheckWeather USTyler
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Tyler weather

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Showers,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Tyler's high today between 91° and 97°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 93°, with a 6% chance of rain.

93°76°
93°75°
95°76°
97°77°
95°76°
96°75°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
91°
Showers
Today 91°·Low 77°·Rain 40%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Heavy showers
Today 97°·Low 77°·Rain 40%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Thunderstorm
Today 93°·Low 75°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tyler and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
93° 76°
±6°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
93° 75°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
95° 76°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
97° 77°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
95° 76°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
96° 75°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
96° 76°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
97° 76°
±9°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
96° 76°
±10°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
92° 74°
±13°
Tue
Mostly clear
87° 71°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
89° 68°
models agree
Thu
Clear
91° 62°
models agree
Fri
Clear
94° 63°
models agree

Tyler, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 39°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tyler right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tyler climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
39°
Feb
64°
46°
Mar
70°
52°
Apr
74°
56°
May
82°
66°
Jun
91°
72°
Jul
92°
75°
Aug
99°
78°
Sep
91°
71°
Oct
82°
61°
Nov
68°
50°
Dec
61°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Tyler?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F97±0.9 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°91° to 97°±60%40% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°92° to 95°models agree6% to 6% chance
Mon±2°94° to 96°±19%6% to 25% chance
Tue±7°94° to 101°±8%8% to 16% chance
Wed±4°94° to 98°±9%5% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tyler

today, local time
Sunrise
06:58
Sunset
19:40
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tyler today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Tyler today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tyler today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Tyler and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tyler?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tyler (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tyler?
August is typically the warmest month in Tyler, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Tyler get?
The coldest month in Tyler is January, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Tyler get?
Tyler sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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