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CheckWeather USTuscaloosa
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Tuscaloosa weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 96° in Tuscaloosa today. Tomorrow looks showers around 100°, with a 20% chance of rain.

96°75°
100°76°
98°75°
93°76°
94°75°
94°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Light drizzle
Today 97°·Low 76°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Partly cloudy
Today 95°·Low 75°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Light drizzle
Today 96°·Low 75°·Rain 67%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tuscaloosa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
96° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
100° 76°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
98° 75°
±6°
Tue
Mostly clear
93° 76°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
94° 75°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
94° 75°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
95° 74°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
94° 74°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
92° 75°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
92° 74°
±14°
Tue
Light drizzle
90° 71°
±14°
Wed
Light drizzle
87° 68°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
87° 65°
models agree
Fri
Clear
87° 64°
±6°

Tuscaloosa, AL is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 39°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tuscaloosa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tuscaloosa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
39°
Feb
65°
45°
Mar
69°
48°
Apr
74°
54°
May
83°
63°
Jun
89°
69°
Jul
91°
73°
Aug
93°
73°
Sep
87°
68°
Oct
79°
58°
Nov
68°
50°
Dec
59°
41°

Which forecast is most accurate in Tuscaloosa?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.8 mph5374% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
56
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F95±1.6 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°95° to 97°±58%9% to 67% chance
Tomorrow±2°99° to 101°±2%18% to 20% chance
Mon±6°95° to 101°±5%12% to 17% chance
Tue±2°92° to 94°±13%7% to 20% chance
Wed±5°93° to 98°±26%10% to 36% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tuscaloosa

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:10
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tuscaloosa today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Tuscaloosa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tuscaloosa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Tuscaloosa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tuscaloosa?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tuscaloosa (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the American at 56. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tuscaloosa?
August is typically the warmest month in Tuscaloosa, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Tuscaloosa get?
The coldest month in Tuscaloosa is January, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Tuscaloosa get?
Tuscaloosa sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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