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Toledo weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
68°
Clear
Feels 71° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
68°
Clear
Feels 70° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 75%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Mainly clear
Feels 71° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 72%

Latest for Toledo: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 68° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 68° Clear · European (ECMWF): 70° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Toledo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Toledo, OH is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Toledo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Toledo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
37°
25°
Feb
45°
27°
Mar
49°
32°
Apr
61°
42°
May
72°
52°
Jun
81°
62°
Jul
84°
65°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
76°
59°
Oct
65°
48°
Nov
52°
38°
Dec
43°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Toledo?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
80±2.0°F98±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
67
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±1.9 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Toledo today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Toledo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Toledo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Toledo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Toledo?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Toledo (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Toledo?
July is typically the warmest month in Toledo, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Toledo get?
The coldest month in Toledo is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Toledo get?
Toledo sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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