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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Tinley Park weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Tinley Park's high today between 67° and 72°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 4% chance of rain.

70°48°
73°50°
67°52°
67°51°
73°54°
73°54°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±7°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
51°
Mainly clear
Feels 47° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
49°
Clear
Feels 45° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 79%
EuropeanECMWF
51°
Overcast
Feels 47° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 81%

Latest for Tinley Park: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 51° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 49° Clear · European (ECMWF): 51° Overcast.

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Tinley Park weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Tinley Park…

Tinley Park weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Tinley Park swings 62°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 19°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 94 days a year at 77°F or above, 25 of them at 86°F or above, 112 frost nights, and rain on 135 days.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
19°F average low
Wettest month
May
43 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
September and October
Residents
57,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
94 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
112 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
135 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Tinley Park’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tinley Park and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tinley Park hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tinley Park 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
70° 48°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
73° 50°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
67° 52°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
67° 51°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
73° 54°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
73° 54°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
72° 53°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
70° 55°
±5°
Sun
Light rain
65° 54°
±9°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
60° 44°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
48° 41°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
52° 40°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
57° 43°
±12°

Tinley Park, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 19°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tinley Park right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tinley Park climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
30°
19°
Feb
38°
20°
Mar
47°
30°
Apr
58°
38°
May
69°
48°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
81°
63°
Aug
80°
63°
Sep
73°
56°
Oct
61°
44°
Nov
46°
33°
Dec
36°
24°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Tinley Park has changed since 1995

Tinley Park sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Hammond. That square ran 1.5°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Hammond page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Tinley Park?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.5 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F94±1.7 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°67° to 72°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrow±7°69° to 76°±1%3% to 4% chance
Mon±2°67° to 68°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°66° to 69°±11%1% to 12% chance
Wed±2°72° to 74°±17%5% to 22% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tinley Park

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
17:56
Daylight
10h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tinley Park today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Tinley Park's high today between 67° and 72°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 4% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Tinley Park today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Tinley Park on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 4% (NWS 3%, American 3%, European 4%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 3%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tinley Park?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tinley Park (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tinley Park?
July is typically the warmest month in Tinley Park, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Tinley Park get?
The coldest month in Tinley Park is January, when overnight lows average about 19°F.
How much rain does Tinley Park get?
Tinley Park sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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