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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Temple weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Temple today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain.

84°58°
80°60°
80°57°
79°62°
82°62°
82°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
85°
Partly cloudy
Today 85°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Cloudy
Today 85°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
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Temple weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Temple…

Temple weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Temple swings 56°F across the year, from 96°F highs in August to 40°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 39 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 216 days a year at 77°F or above, 135 of them at 86°F or above, 11 frost nights, and rain on 106 days.

Warmest month
August
96°F average high
Coldest month
January
40°F average low
Wettest month
May
39 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
72,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
216 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
11 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
106 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Temple’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Temple and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Temple hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Temple 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
84° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
80° 60°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
80° 57°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
79° 62°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
82° 62°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
82° 63°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
78° 64°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
84° 64°
±7°
Sun
Drizzle
81° 66°
±12°
Mon
Light drizzle
79° 62°
±8°
Tue
Clear
75° 55°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
77° 53°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
73° 55°
models agree

Temple, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 40°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Temple right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Temple climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
59°
40°
Feb
64°
44°
Mar
69°
50°
Apr
76°
58°
May
82°
66°
Jun
91°
71°
Jul
94°
74°
Aug
96°
74°
Sep
88°
70°
Oct
79°
59°
Nov
68°
49°
Dec
60°
42°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Temple has changed since 1995

Temple sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Killeen. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Killeen page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Temple?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F95±1.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°82° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°80° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°80° to 81°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±7°75° to 82°±21%10% to 31% chance
Wed±1°82° to 83°±12%6% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Temple

today, local time
Sunrise
07:38
Sunset
18:47
Daylight
11h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Temple today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Temple today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Temple today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Temple on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Temple?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Temple (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Temple?
August is typically the warmest month in Temple, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Temple get?
The coldest month in Temple is January, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Temple get?
Temple sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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