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CheckWeather USTemple
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Temple weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Temple today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 95°, with a 69% chance of rain.

97°74°
95°77°
96°76°
100°78°
99°78°
100°78°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Mostly clear
Today 95°·Low 74°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Partly cloudy
Today 98°·Low 75°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
98°
Cloudy
Today 98°·Low 75°·Rain 16%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Temple and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
97° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
95° 77°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
96° 76°
±6°
Tue
Clear
100° 78°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
99° 78°
±4°
Thu
Clear
100° 78°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
100° 78°
±7°
Sat
Mostly clear
99° 78°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
98° 78°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
96° 77°
±9°
Tue
Light drizzle
90° 75°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
91° 73°
±10°
Thu
Mostly clear
94° 71°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
96° 72°
models agree

Temple, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 101°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 41°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Temple right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Temple climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
60°
41°
Feb
67°
47°
Mar
73°
54°
Apr
77°
59°
May
83°
67°
Jun
94°
74°
Jul
97°
77°
Aug
101°
79°
Sep
92°
74°
Oct
84°
64°
Nov
71°
52°
Dec
65°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Temple?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.7 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F96±1.4 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°95° to 98°±11%5% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±4°93° to 97°±56%13% to 69% chance
Mon±6°92° to 99°±32%3% to 35% chance
Tue±4°97° to 101°±18%2% to 20% chance
Wed±4°96° to 100°±20%2% to 22% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Temple

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
12h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in Temple today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Temple today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Temple today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Temple and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Temple?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Temple (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Temple?
August is typically the warmest month in Temple, with average highs around 101°F.
How cold does Temple get?
The coldest month in Temple is January, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Temple get?
Temple sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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