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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Tacoma weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Tacoma's high today between 55° and 60°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 56°, with a 62% chance of rain.

57°39°
56°41°
57°43°
57°45°
52°44°
51°40°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±8°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
56°
Partly cloudy
Today 56°·Low 36°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
60°
Cloudy
Today 60°·Low 40°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
55°
Cloudy
Today 55°·Low 41°·Rain 16%
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Tacoma weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Tacoma weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Tacoma swings 45°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 34°F lows in December, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 46 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 51 days a year at 77°F or above, 13 of them at 86°F or above, 37 frost nights, and rain on 155 days.

Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
December
34°F average low
Wettest month
November
46 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
223,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
51 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
37 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
155 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Tacoma’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tacoma and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tacoma hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tacoma 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
57° 39°
±5°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
56° 41°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
57° 43°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
57° 45°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
52° 44°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
51° 40°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
52° 39°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
51° 38°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
53° 37°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
54° 40°
±6°
Tue
Mostly clear
57° 43°
±5°
Wed
Rain
51° 43°
±5°
Thu
Showers
57° 49°
models agree

Tacoma, Washington (WA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 34°F), with roughly 46 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tacoma right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tacoma climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
46°
35°
Feb
47°
35°
Mar
52°
36°
Apr
57°
42°
May
65°
46°
Jun
71°
50°
Jul
79°
55°
Aug
78°
56°
Sep
72°
54°
Oct
62°
46°
Nov
50°
39°
Dec
45°
34°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Tacoma has changed since 1995

Tacoma sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Seattle. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Seattle page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Tacoma?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.5 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°55° to 60°±10%6% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±8°53° to 61°±23%39% to 62% chance
Mon±2°56° to 59°±15%35% to 50% chance
Tue±2°56° to 58°±12%13% to 25% chance
Wed±3°51° to 54°±20%32% to 52% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tacoma

today, local time
Sunrise
07:41
Sunset
18:05
Daylight
10h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tacoma today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Tacoma's high today between 55° and 60°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 56°, with a 62% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Tacoma today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Tacoma on Sunday, October 25: NWS 62%, American 62%, European 39%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 16%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tacoma?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tacoma (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tacoma?
July is typically the warmest month in Tacoma, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Tacoma get?
The coldest month in Tacoma is December, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Tacoma get?
Tacoma sees roughly 46 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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