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CheckWeather USStamford
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Stamford weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 78° in Stamford today. Tomorrow looks rain around 72°, with a 73% chance of rain.

78°64°
72°61°
77°58°
82°60°
82°67°
81°69°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Light drizzle
Today 78°·Low 63°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Partly cloudy
Today 79°·Low 64°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Partly cloudy
Today 78°·Low 66°·Rain 47%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Stamford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
78° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
72° 61°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
77° 58°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
82° 60°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
82° 67°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
81° 69°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
78° 64°
±9°
Sat
Mostly clear
77° 61°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
82° 66°
±8°
Mon
Light rain
84° 69°
±16°
Tue
Light rain
77° 65°
±17°
Wed
Drizzle
75° 60°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 58°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
69° 59°
±11°

Stamford, CT is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 28°F), with roughly 58 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Stamford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Stamford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
43°
30°
Feb
44°
28°
Mar
50°
34°
Apr
61°
43°
May
70°
51°
Jun
79°
60°
Jul
85°
67°
Aug
81°
64°
Sep
75°
58°
Oct
66°
49°
Nov
53°
37°
Dec
44°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Stamford?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.2 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F95±1.5 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°78° to 79°±43%4% to 47% chance
Tomorrow±3°71° to 74°±53%20% to 73% chance
Mon±2°76° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°80° to 83°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±4°81° to 85°±7%7% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stamford

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stamford today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Stamford today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Stamford today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Stamford and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stamford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Stamford (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Stamford?
July is typically the warmest month in Stamford, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Stamford get?
The coldest month in Stamford is February, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Stamford get?
Stamford sees roughly 58 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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