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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Springfield weather

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Thunderstorm,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Springfield today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 77°, with a 0% chance of rain.

83°68°
77°62°
80°59°
85°62°
89°70°
78°67°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Thunderstorm
Today 84°·Low 70°·Rain 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Drizzle
Today 83°·Low 66°·Rain 63%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Thunderstorm
Today 83°·Low 69°·Rain 99%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Springfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Thunderstorm
83° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
77° 62°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
80° 59°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
85° 62°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
89° 70°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
78° 67°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
79° 59°
±10°
Sat
Cloudy
82° 62°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
86° 66°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
81° 64°
±18°
Tue
Light drizzle
74° 57°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
69° 52°
models agree
Thu
Clear
69° 51°
models agree
Fri
Clear
72° 52°
models agree

Springfield, OH is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Springfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Springfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
27°
Feb
49°
30°
Mar
53°
34°
Apr
63°
44°
May
73°
54°
Jun
80°
61°
Jul
83°
65°
Aug
82°
63°
Sep
78°
59°
Oct
66°
48°
Nov
53°
38°
Dec
44°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Springfield?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F94±1.8 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°83° to 84°±36%63% to 99% chance
Tomorrow±2°76° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°78° to 82°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±4°83° to 87°±7%1% to 8% chance
Wed±3°88° to 91°±3%27% to 30% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Springfield

today, local time
Sunrise
07:07
Sunset
20:00
Daylight
12h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Springfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Springfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Springfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Springfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Springfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Springfield (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Springfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Springfield, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Springfield get?
The coldest month in Springfield is January, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Springfield get?
Springfield sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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