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Spring Valley weekend weather

This weekend in Spring Valley, NV, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 113° across the weekend. Agreement is high — unusually solid for this far out.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
112°
Mostly clear
High 112°·Low 89°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
113°
Cloudy
High 113°·Low 97°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
114°
Clear
High 114°·Low 85°·Rain 0%

All 3 models land within 2° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
111°
Clear
High 111°·Low 90°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
112°
Clear
High 112°·Low 99°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
113°
Clear
High 113°·Low 85°·Rain 0%

All 3 models land within 2° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°108° to 110°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°110° to 112°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sat±2°112° to 114°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±2°111° to 113°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°111° to 111°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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