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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Southaven weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Southaven today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 78°, with a 0% chance of rain.

80°54°
78°55°
77°55°
77°54°
80°54°
81°54°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Mostly clear
Today 79°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Partly cloudy
Today 81°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Mostly clear
Today 80°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
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Southaven weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Southaven and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Southaven hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Southaven 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
80° 54°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
78° 55°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
77° 55°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
77° 54°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
80° 54°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
81° 54°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
80° 55°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
78° 60°
±6°
Sun
Light rain
76° 63°
±15°
Mon
Drizzle
73° 56°
±14°
Tue
Partly cloudy
69° 51°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
69° 50°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
69° 49°
±12°

Southaven is a town of about 53,000 people in Mississippi (MS), sitting at 35.0°N in a subtropical climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Southaven with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Horn Lake, New South Memphis, Olive Branch.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

How the weather around Southaven has changed since 1995

Southaven sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as New South Memphis. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the New South Memphis page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Southaven?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F96±1.3 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°79° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree78° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°77° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°76° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±5°78° to 83°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Southaven

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
18:14
Daylight
11h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Southaven today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Southaven today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 78°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Southaven today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Southaven on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Southaven?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Southaven (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More US weather