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CheckWeather USSouthaven
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Southaven weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Southaven's high today between 99° and 103°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 101°, with a 39% chance of rain.

101°78°
101°80°
96°76°
100°74°
99°78°
98°77°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Drizzle
Today 99°·Low 78°·Rain 7%
AmericanNOAA GFS
103°
Mostly clear
Today 103°·Low 77°·Rain 7%
EuropeanECMWF
100°
Mostly clear
Today 100°·Low 78°·Rain 38%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Southaven and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
101° 78°
±4°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
101° 80°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
96° 76°
models agree
Tue
Clear
100° 74°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
99° 78°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
98° 77°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
95° 75°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
98° 74°
±8°
Sun
Drizzle
97° 77°
±10°
Mon
Drizzle
90° 73°
±25°
Tue
Light drizzle
86° 67°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
83° 62°
models agree
Thu
Clear
85° 60°
models agree
Fri
Clear
87° 61°
models agree

Southaven is a town of about 53,000 people in MS, sitting at 35.0°N in a subtropical climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Southaven with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Horn Lake, New South Memphis, Olive Branch.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Southaven?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±0.8 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F94±1.8 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°99° to 103°±31%7% to 38% chance
Tomorrow±3°100° to 102°±30%9% to 39% chance
Mon±2°95° to 98°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±7°97° to 103°±12%1% to 13% chance
Wed±7°96° to 103°±7%1% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Southaven

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
19:21
Daylight
12h 46m

Common questions

What's the weather in Southaven today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Southaven today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Southaven today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Southaven and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Southaven?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Southaven (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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