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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

South Shore weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 68° in South Shore today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 4% chance of rain.

68°50°
72°51°
64°54°
65°53°
71°56°
71°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
54°
Mainly clear
Feels 50° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
49°
Clear
Feels 45° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 83%
EuropeanECMWF
51°
Overcast
Feels 48° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 81%

Latest for South Shore: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 54° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 49° Clear · European (ECMWF): 51° Overcast.

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South Shore weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering South Shore…

South Shore weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

South Shore swings 57°F across the year, from 78°F highs in July to 21°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 74 days a year at 77°F or above, 18 of them at 86°F or above, 102 frost nights, and rain on 133 days.

Warmest month
July
78°F average high
Coldest month
January
21°F average low
Wettest month
May
43 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
51,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
85/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
74 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
102 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
133 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for South Shore’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around South Shore and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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South Shore hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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South Shore 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
68° 50°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
72° 51°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
64° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
65° 53°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
71° 56°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
71° 56°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
69° 54°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
70° 57°
±9°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
65° 57°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
60° 47°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
49° 43°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
53° 43°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
57° 46°
±13°

South Shore, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 78°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for South Shore right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

South Shore climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
21°
Feb
37°
22°
Mar
45°
31°
Apr
55°
39°
May
63°
47°
Jun
74°
59°
Jul
78°
65°
Aug
78°
65°
Sep
71°
58°
Oct
59°
45°
Nov
47°
35°
Dec
36°
27°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around South Shore has changed since 1995

South Shore sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Chicago. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Chicago page.

Which forecast is most accurate in South Shore?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
80±2.0°F89±3.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.5 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°67° to 70°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrow±5°70° to 75°±2%2% to 4% chance
Mon±2°63° to 65°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°64° to 66°±15%1% to 16% chance
Wed±3°70° to 72°±22%5% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in South Shore

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
17:55
Daylight
10h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in South Shore today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 68° in South Shore today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 4% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in South Shore today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in South Shore on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 4% (NWS 4%, American 4%, European 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 3%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for South Shore?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for South Shore (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in South Shore?
July is typically the warmest month in South Shore, with average highs around 78°F.
How cold does South Shore get?
The coldest month in South Shore is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does South Shore get?
South Shore sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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