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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

South Portland weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 55° in South Portland today. Tomorrow: clear, around 59°, with a 0% chance of rain.

55°33°
59°36°
64°41°
51°38°
48°33°
58°37°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
54°
Clear
Today 54°·Low 32°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
55°
Clear
Today 55°·Low 31°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
56°
Mostly clear
Today 56°·Low 37°·Rain 0%
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South Portland weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering South Portland…

South Portland weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

South Portland swings 61°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 18°F lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 53 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 54 days a year at 77°F or above, 10 of them at 86°F or above, 118 frost nights, and rain on 119 days.

Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
February
18°F average low
Wettest month
October
53 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
26,000
share this forecast
Warm days
54 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
118 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
119 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for South Portland’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around South Portland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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South Portland hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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South Portland 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
55° 33°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
59° 36°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
64° 41°
±8°
Tue
Clear
51° 38°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
48° 33°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
58° 37°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
63° 46°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
56° 43°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
55° 42°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
57° 44°
±10°
Tue
Cloudy
62° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
53° 39°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
51° 35°
±4°

South Portland, Maine (ME) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 18°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for South Portland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

South Portland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
32°
19°
Feb
35°
18°
Mar
41°
26°
Apr
51°
35°
May
64°
46°
Jun
72°
56°
Jul
79°
63°
Aug
76°
60°
Sep
71°
55°
Oct
59°
44°
Nov
47°
34°
Dec
38°
25°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around South Portland has changed since 1995

South Portland sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Portland. That square ran 2.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Portland page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°54° to 56°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±6°56° to 62°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±8°61° to 68°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°48° to 53°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°46° to 50°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in South Portland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:06
Sunset
17:43
Daylight
10h 37m

Common questions

What's the weather in South Portland today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 55° in South Portland today. Tomorrow: clear, around 59°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in South Portland today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in South Portland on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for South Portland?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the South Portland forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in South Portland?
July is typically the warmest month in South Portland, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does South Portland get?
The coldest month in South Portland is February, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does South Portland get?
South Portland sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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