active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories
Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Socorro…
Socorro weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather
Socorro swings 64°F across the year, from 96°F highs in June to 32°F lows in December, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 9 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 212 days a year at 77°F or above, 148 of them at 86°F or above, 26 frost nights, and rain on 31 days.
Warmest month
June
96°F average high
Coldest month
December
32°F average low
Wettest month
August
9 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, October and November
Residents
33,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
212 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
26 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
31 days
a year with 0.04 in or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Socorro’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Socorro and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…
Socorro hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
Loading the three models…
Socorro 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Socorro, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 32°F), with roughly 9 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Socorro right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
58°
33°
Feb
63°
38°
Mar
70°
45°
Apr
79°
50°
May
87°
59°
Jun
96°
68°
Jul
95°
71°
Aug
93°
70°
Sep
88°
62°
Oct
78°
53°
Nov
65°
41°
Dec
57°
32°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Socorro's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.9°F
Around Socorro, 2015-2024 averaged 1.9°F warmer than 1995-2004. 7 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 95°F
13 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
13 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F
Average wind
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >95°F vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.7°F
−15
−9
+1%
1996
−0.7°F
−11
+1
+1%
1997
−1.4°F
−1
+12
−1%
1998
−1.4°F
−14
+10
+3%
1999
−0.7°F
−21
−1
−1%
2000
+0.2°F
+13
+2
−1%
2001
−0.2°F
+3
+14
+1%
2002
−0.3°F
+2
+11
−1%
2003
+0.4°F
+10
−2
+3%
2004
−1.6°F
−9
+1
−4%
2005
−0.5°F
−2
−15
−1%
2006
−0.9°F
−20
+1
−4%
2007
−1.6°F
−29
+14
−1%
2008
−2.0°F
−21
+1
+1%
2009
−0.9°F
−16
+9
−4%
2010
−1.1°F
+1
+10
+1%
2011
+0.4°F
+27
+13
+6%
2012
+1.1°F
+14
−3
+1%
2013
−0.9°F
+5
+18
+3%
2014
+0.2°F
−5
−6
+1%
2015
+0.4°F
−8
−3
−4%
2016
+1.1°F
−5
−12
−1%
2017
+1.8°F
−17
−22
+1%
2018
+1.1°F
+11
−14
−1%
2019
+0.4°F
+15
−3
+1%
2020
+1.8°F
+34
−3
+1%
2021
+1.1°F
−11
−17
−1%
2022
+0.2°F
+7
+11
−1%
2023
+2.2°F
+32
−3
+1%
2024
+2.7°F
+34
−23
+3%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Socorro, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Socorro?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F
95±1.6 mph
9597% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
72
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F
90±3.3 mph
5374% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Common questions
What's the weather in Socorro today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Socorro today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Socorro today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Socorro and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Socorro?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Socorro (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Socorro?
June is typically the warmest month in Socorro, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Socorro get?
The coldest month in Socorro is December, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Socorro get?
Socorro sees roughly 9 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
Is Socorro getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Socorro, 2015-2024 averaged 1.9°F warmer than 1995-2004.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.
