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CheckWeather USSioux City
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Sioux City weather

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Light drizzle,thunder likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Sioux City's high today between 87° and 91°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks thunderstorm around 88°, with a 28% chance of rain.

89°73°
88°71°
90°71°
91°73°
84°65°
87°59°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±13°Wednesdaysplit ±12°Thursdaysplit ±12°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
91°
Light drizzle
Today 91°·Low 73°·Rain 39%
AmericanNOAA GFS
87°
Light rain
Today 87°·Low 73°·Rain 39%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Thunderstorm
Today 90°·Low 72°·Rain 90%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Sioux City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
89° 73°
±5°
Tomorrow
Thunderstorm
88° 71°
±5°
Mon
Rain
90° 71°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
91° 73°
±13°
Wed
Cloudy
84° 65°
±12°
Thu
Cloudy
87° 59°
±12°
Fri
Mostly clear
89° 65°
±22°
Sat
Light drizzle
82° 62°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
69° 57°
±9°
Mon
Partly cloudy
69° 52°
±14°
Tue
Light drizzle
74° 52°
±6°
Wed
Clear
79° 51°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
79° 57°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
77° 61°
models agree

Sioux City, IA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 12°F), with roughly 31 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Sioux City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Sioux City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
12°
Feb
42°
21°
Mar
47°
27°
Apr
61°
41°
May
75°
53°
Jun
83°
63°
Jul
84°
65°
Aug
84°
66°
Sep
81°
61°
Oct
66°
47°
Nov
50°
33°
Dec
38°
24°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sioux City?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F96±1.4 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F95±1.7 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°87° to 91°±51%39% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±5°86° to 91°models agree28% to 28% chance
Mon±2°89° to 91°±29%11% to 40% chance
Tue±13°86° to 99°±22%43% to 65% chance
Wed±12°80° to 92°±6%6% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sioux City

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
19:53
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sioux City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Sioux City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sioux City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Sioux City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sioux City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sioux City (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sioux City?
July is typically the warmest month in Sioux City, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Sioux City get?
The coldest month in Sioux City is January, when overnight lows average about 12°F.
How much rain does Sioux City get?
Sioux City sees roughly 31 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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