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Selma weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
66°
Partly cloudy
Feels 69° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
65°
Clear
Feels 66° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 87%
EuropeanECMWF
67°
Mainly clear
Feels 68° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 85%

Latest for Selma: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 66° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 65° Clear · European (ECMWF): 67° Mainly clear.

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Selma weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Selma…

Selma weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Selma swings 53°F across the year, from 96°F highs in August to 43°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 35 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
96°F average high
Coldest month
January
43°F average low
Wettest month
June
35 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
9,108
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Selma and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Selma hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Selma 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Selma, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 43°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Selma right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Selma climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
62°
43°
Feb
67°
47°
Mar
72°
53°
Apr
79°
60°
May
84°
66°
Jun
92°
71°
Jul
93°
73°
Aug
96°
73°
Sep
88°
69°
Oct
80°
60°
Nov
69°
51°
Dec
63°
45°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Selma has changed since 1995

Selma sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as New Braunfels. That square ran 1.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the New Braunfels page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Selma today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Selma today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Selma today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Selma and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Selma?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Selma forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Selma?
August is typically the warmest month in Selma, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Selma get?
The coldest month in Selma is January, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Selma get?
Selma sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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