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San Juan weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
71°
Clear
Feels 75° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
67°
Clear
Feels 70° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 91%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Clear
Feels 76° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 73%

Latest for San Juan: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 71° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 67° Clear · European (ECMWF): 73° Clear.

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San Juan weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering San Juan…

San Juan weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

San Juan swings 43°F across the year, from 96°F highs in August to 53°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 23 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 296 days a year at 77°F or above, 216 of them at 86°F or above, 1 frost night, and rain on 92 days.

Warmest month
August
96°F average high
Coldest month
January
53°F average low
Wettest month
September
23 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, November and December
Residents
37,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
296 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
1 night
a year below 32°F
Rain days
92 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for San Juan’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around San Juan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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San Juan hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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San Juan 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

San Juan, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 53°F), with roughly 23 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for San Juan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

San Juan climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
72°
53°
Feb
77°
58°
Mar
81°
62°
Apr
85°
67°
May
91°
73°
Jun
95°
76°
Jul
94°
77°
Aug
96°
77°
Sep
91°
74°
Oct
86°
68°
Nov
77°
61°
Dec
72°
56°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around San Juan has changed since 1995

San Juan sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as McAllen. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the McAllen page.

Which forecast is most accurate in San Juan?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F97±0.8 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F90±3.3 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in San Juan today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for San Juan today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in San Juan today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for San Juan and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for San Juan?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for San Juan (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in San Juan?
August is typically the warmest month in San Juan, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does San Juan get?
The coldest month in San Juan is January, when overnight lows average about 53°F.
How much rain does San Juan get?
San Juan sees roughly 23 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

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