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CheckWeather USSalem
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Salem weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 70° in Salem today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 67°, with a 100% chance of rain.

70°62°
67°59°
77°56°
79°60°
74°61°
78°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
68°
Light drizzle
Today 68°·Low 62°·Rain 13%
AmericanNOAA GFS
70°
Cloudy
Today 70°·Low 62°·Rain 13%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Heavy drizzle
Today 70°·Low 63°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Salem and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
70° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
67° 59°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
77° 56°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
79° 60°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
74° 61°
±5°
Thu
Light rain
78° 66°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
77° 61°
±13°
Sat
Mostly clear
74° 58°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
79° 62°
±17°
Mon
Light drizzle
81° 64°
±13°
Tue
Drizzle
74° 62°
±8°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
74° 58°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
70° 56°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
68° 55°
models agree

Salem, MA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 24°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Salem right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Salem climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
27°
Feb
41°
24°
Mar
47°
32°
Apr
57°
39°
May
67°
49°
Jun
76°
58°
Jul
83°
67°
Aug
78°
62°
Sep
73°
57°
Oct
64°
48°
Nov
51°
35°
Dec
42°
29°

Which forecast is most accurate in Salem?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
77±2.3°F98±0.7 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
63
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F92±2.4 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°68° to 70°±85%13% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°67° to 68°±65%35% to 100% chance
Mon±1°77° to 78°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±3°78° to 81°±21%0% to 21% chance
Wed±5°72° to 76°±6%25% to 31% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Salem

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
19:11
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Salem today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Salem today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Salem today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Salem and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Salem?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Salem (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the American at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Salem?
July is typically the warmest month in Salem, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Salem get?
The coldest month in Salem is February, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Salem get?
Salem sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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