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Saint Charles weather

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Saint Charles weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Saint Charles weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Saint Charles swings 56°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 29°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 44 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 127 days a year at 77°F or above, 51 of them at 86°F or above, 59 frost nights, and rain on 130 days.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
January
29°F average low
Wettest month
July
44 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
36,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
127 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
59 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
130 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Saint Charles’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Saint Charles and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Saint Charles hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Saint Charles 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Saint Charles, Maryland (MD) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 29°F), with roughly 44 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Saint Charles right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Saint Charles climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
43°
29°
Feb
46°
29°
Mar
54°
35°
Apr
66°
45°
May
73°
54°
Jun
83°
61°
Jul
85°
67°
Aug
84°
66°
Sep
77°
60°
Oct
68°
49°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
46°
32°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Saint Charles has changed since 1995

Saint Charles sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Waldorf. That square ran 2.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Waldorf page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Saint Charles?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F95±1.4 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Saint Charles today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Saint Charles today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Saint Charles today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Saint Charles and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saint Charles?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Saint Charles (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saint Charles?
July is typically the warmest month in Saint Charles, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Saint Charles get?
The coldest month in Saint Charles is January, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Saint Charles get?
Saint Charles sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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