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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Roswell weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 99° in Roswell today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 97°, with a 12% chance of rain.

99°71°
97°74°
95°73°
96°74°
97°74°
97°74°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Partly cloudy
Today 98°·Low 71°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
99°
Cloudy
Today 99°·Low 71°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Light drizzle
Today 99°·Low 72°·Rain 10%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Roswell and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
99° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
97° 74°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
95° 73°
models agree
Tue
Clear
96° 74°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
97° 74°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
97° 74°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
100° 72°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
99° 75°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
92° 72°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
84° 68°
±15°
Tue
Light drizzle
81° 67°
±16°
Wed
Cloudy
81° 65°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
85° 66°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
88° 67°
±7°

Roswell, NM is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 31°F), with roughly 7 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Roswell right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Roswell climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
31°
Feb
62°
35°
Mar
70°
43°
Apr
78°
49°
May
88°
60°
Jun
98°
71°
Jul
99°
74°
Aug
98°
73°
Sep
90°
64°
Oct
80°
54°
Nov
64°
40°
Dec
59°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Roswell?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F91±2.8 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
85
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F95±1.5 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°98° to 99°±4%6% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±2°96° to 98°±7%5% to 12% chance
Mon±1°95° to 95°±1%3% to 4% chance
Tue±1°96° to 97°±3%1% to 4% chance
Wed±2°96° to 98°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Roswell

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
19:18
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Roswell today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Roswell today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Roswell today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Roswell and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Roswell?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Roswell (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Roswell?
July is typically the warmest month in Roswell, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Roswell get?
The coldest month in Roswell is January, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Roswell get?
Roswell sees roughly 7 in of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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