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CheckWeather USRohnert Park
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Rohnert Park weather

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Fog,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Rohnert Park's high today between 72° and 78°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 74°, with a 1% chance of rain.

75°49°
74°51°
81°50°
89°57°
94°63°
92°65°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±15°Thursdaysplit ±22°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Fog
Today 72°·Low 50°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Fog
Today 78°·Low 48°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 51°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Rohnert Park and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Fog
75° 49°
±5°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
74° 51°
±5°
Mon
Mostly clear
81° 50°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
89° 57°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
94° 63°
±15°
Thu
Partly cloudy
92° 65°
±22°
Fri
Partly cloudy
78° 58°
±11°
Sat
Light drizzle
77° 55°
±13°
Sun
Partly cloudy
76° 54°
±21°
Mon
Partly cloudy
76° 54°
±21°
Tue
Partly cloudy
77° 54°
±22°
Wed
Clear
85° 55°
±24°
Thu
Clear
84° 55°
±20°
Fri
Clear
79° 53°
±13°

Rohnert Park, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 39°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rohnert Park right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Rohnert Park climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
42°
Feb
57°
39°
Mar
57°
41°
Apr
65°
44°
May
69°
48°
Jun
75°
52°
Jul
81°
54°
Aug
80°
55°
Sep
77°
53°
Oct
77°
51°
Nov
64°
44°
Dec
59°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rohnert Park?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
73±2.7°F97±0.9 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
65±3.5°F92±2.4 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°72° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°72° to 77°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±5°79° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±10°84° to 95°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±15°87° to 101°±2%2% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rohnert Park

today, local time
Sunrise
06:44
Sunset
19:34
Daylight
12h 50m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rohnert Park today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Rohnert Park today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rohnert Park today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Rohnert Park and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rohnert Park?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rohnert Park (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rohnert Park?
July is typically the warmest month in Rohnert Park, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Rohnert Park get?
The coldest month in Rohnert Park is February, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Rohnert Park get?
Rohnert Park sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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