Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USProvo
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Provo weather

Loading live data…

Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 89° in Provo today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 84°, with a 37% chance of rain.

89°65°
84°67°
78°63°
84°59°
87°61°
88°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Clear
Today 88°·Low 65°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Clear
Today 90°·Low 69°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
89°
Clear
Today 89°·Low 62°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Provo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
89° 65°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
84° 67°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
78° 63°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
84° 59°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
87° 61°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
88° 65°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
88° 66°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
81° 63°
±11°
Sun
Partly cloudy
77° 56°
±13°
Mon
Mostly clear
81° 57°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
84° 60°
±11°
Wed
Mostly clear
91° 65°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
90° 68°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
86° 67°
±6°

Provo, UT is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 21°F), with roughly 24 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Provo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Provo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
23°
Feb
38°
21°
Mar
42°
25°
Apr
53°
34°
May
67°
43°
Jun
80°
56°
Jul
91°
64°
Aug
86°
62°
Sep
79°
54°
Oct
66°
44°
Nov
47°
28°
Dec
42°
23°

Which forecast is most accurate in Provo?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
77
/100rank #1
72±2.8°F95±1.7 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
54±4.6°F86±4.5 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°88° to 90°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±4°82° to 86°±29%8% to 37% chance
Mon±3°77° to 79°±1%29% to 30% chance
Tue±4°83° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°86° to 88°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Provo

today, local time
Sunrise
06:58
Sunset
19:52
Daylight
12h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Provo today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Provo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Provo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Provo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Provo?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Provo (CheckWeather Score 77/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Provo?
July is typically the warmest month in Provo, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Provo get?
The coldest month in Provo is February, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Provo get?
Provo sees roughly 24 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather