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CheckWeather USPort Arthur
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Port Arthur weather

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Thunderstorm,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 86° in Port Arthur today. Tomorrow looks showers around 87°, with a 91% chance of rain.

86°78°
87°76°
91°77°
91°78°
88°78°
90°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
85°
Thunderstorm
Today 85°·Low 79°·Rain 64%
AmericanNOAA GFS
86°
Cloudy
Today 86°·Low 78°·Rain 64%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Thunderstorm
Today 85°·Low 77°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Port Arthur and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Thunderstorm
86° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
87° 76°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
91° 77°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
91° 78°
±4°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
88° 78°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
90° 77°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
90° 77°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
89° 79°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
90° 80°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
89° 78°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
90° 76°
±11°
Wed
Light drizzle
90° 74°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
89° 70°
models agree
Fri
Clear
91° 70°
models agree

Port Arthur, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 48°F), with roughly 60 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Port Arthur right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Port Arthur climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
48°
Feb
67°
53°
Mar
72°
59°
Apr
76°
63°
May
83°
71°
Jun
89°
77°
Jul
89°
78°
Aug
93°
80°
Sep
88°
75°
Oct
81°
67°
Nov
72°
59°
Dec
66°
52°

Which forecast is most accurate in Port Arthur?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F96±1.4 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F95±1.6 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°85° to 86°±36%64% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°87° to 87°±73%18% to 91% chance
Mon±3°89° to 92°±35%16% to 51% chance
Tue±4°89° to 93°±42%23% to 65% chance
Wed±4°87° to 91°±24%47% to 71% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Port Arthur

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
12h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Port Arthur today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Port Arthur today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Port Arthur today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Port Arthur and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Port Arthur?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Port Arthur (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Port Arthur?
August is typically the warmest month in Port Arthur, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Port Arthur get?
The coldest month in Port Arthur is January, when overnight lows average about 48°F.
How much rain does Port Arthur get?
Port Arthur sees roughly 60 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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