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CheckWeather USPocatello
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Pocatello weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Pocatello today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 83°, with a 43% chance of rain.

84°50°
83°54°
68°51°
74°49°
79°54°
83°58°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Clear
Today 82°·Low 50°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Clear
Today 85°·Low 51°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Clear
Today 83°·Low 49°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Pocatello and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
84° 50°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
83° 54°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
68° 51°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
74° 49°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
79° 54°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
83° 58°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
80° 58°
±12°
Sat
Partly cloudy
71° 52°
±8°
Sun
Partly cloudy
71° 47°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
77° 51°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
81° 56°
±13°
Wed
Clear
87° 61°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
88° 61°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
77° 56°
±13°

Pocatello, ID is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 18°F), with roughly 18 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Pocatello right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Pocatello climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
18°
Feb
36°
21°
Mar
40°
22°
Apr
55°
33°
May
68°
43°
Jun
79°
53°
Jul
92°
62°
Aug
86°
58°
Sep
77°
51°
Oct
64°
41°
Nov
44°
28°
Dec
38°
24°

Which forecast is most accurate in Pocatello?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F95±1.5 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F84±4.9 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°82° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°82° to 85°±11%32% to 43% chance
Mon±2°67° to 69°±47%23% to 70% chance
Tue±4°72° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°78° to 81°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Pocatello

today, local time
Sunrise
06:59
Sunset
19:57
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Pocatello today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Pocatello today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Pocatello today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Pocatello and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Pocatello?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Pocatello (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Pocatello?
July is typically the warmest month in Pocatello, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Pocatello get?
The coldest month in Pocatello is January, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Pocatello get?
Pocatello sees roughly 18 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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