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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Peoria weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Peoria today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 81°, with a 0% chance of rain.

83°68°
81°62°
88°64°
86°71°
79°62°
84°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Mainly clear
Feels 75° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 74%
AmericanNOAA GFS
72°
Clear
Feels 74° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 70%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Mainly clear
Feels 74° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 72%

Latest for Peoria: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 72° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 72° Clear · European (ECMWF): 72° Mainly clear.

Peoria weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Peoria swings 61°F across the year, from 84°F highs in June to 23°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 34 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
84°F average high
Coldest month
January
23°F average low
Wettest month
July
34 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
115,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Peoria and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
83° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
81° 62°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
88° 64°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
86° 71°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
79° 62°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
84° 59°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
86° 66°
models agree
Sun
Showers
89° 69°
±17°
Mon
Showers
81° 64°
±17°
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 58°
±14°
Wed
Cloudy
75° 55°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
71° 58°
±14°
Fri
Showers
72° 61°
models agree
Sat
Showers
64° 52°
models agree

Peoria, IL is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Peoria right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Peoria climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
23°
Feb
48°
27°
Mar
52°
34°
Apr
63°
43°
May
76°
55°
Jun
84°
64°
Jul
84°
66°
Aug
83°
66°
Sep
78°
60°
Oct
67°
49°
Nov
52°
37°
Dec
42°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Peoria?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F93±2.3 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°83° to 84°±28%3% to 31% chance
Tomorrow±2°81° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°87° to 89°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±7°83° to 90°±1%60% to 61% chance
Thu±1°79° to 79°±3%43% to 46% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Peoria

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Peoria today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Peoria today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Peoria today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Peoria and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Peoria?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Peoria (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Peoria?
June is typically the warmest month in Peoria, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Peoria get?
The coldest month in Peoria is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Peoria get?
Peoria sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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