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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Peoria weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Peoria's high today between 70° and 75°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 75°, with a 2% chance of rain.

73°51°
75°51°
73°54°
72°53°
75°55°
75°56°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Partly cloudy
Today 73°·Low 51°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 49°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Cloudy
Today 70°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
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Peoria weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Peoria…

Peoria weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Peoria swings 63°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 20°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 38 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 119 days a year at 77°F or above, 40 of them at 86°F or above, 101 frost nights, and rain on 117 days.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
20°F average low
Wettest month
May
38 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
115,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
119 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
101 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
117 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Peoria’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Peoria and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Peoria hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Peoria 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
73° 51°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
75° 51°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
73° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
72° 53°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
75° 55°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
75° 56°
±7°
Fri
Partly cloudy
73° 55°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
70° 56°
±8°
Sun
Light rain
67° 54°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
62° 46°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
52° 42°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
55° 42°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
59° 44°
±16°

Peoria, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 20°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Peoria right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Peoria climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
33°
20°
Feb
41°
20°
Mar
50°
32°
Apr
61°
41°
May
73°
52°
Jun
82°
62°
Jul
83°
65°
Aug
82°
65°
Sep
75°
57°
Oct
64°
46°
Nov
49°
34°
Dec
37°
25°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Peoria's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.2°F

Around Peoria, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°F warmer than 1995-2004. 4 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2012.

1995: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average1996: −2.6°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average1998: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average1999: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average2000: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2002: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2003: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2005: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2006: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2008: −2.4°F vs the 30-year average2009: −2.3°F vs the 30-year average2010: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2011: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2012: +3.5°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average2014: −3.3°F vs the 30-year average2015: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2018: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2020: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2021: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2022: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2023: +2.2°F vs the 30-year average2024: +2.8°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

2 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −17 vs the 30-year average1996: −6 vs the 30-year average1997: +6 vs the 30-year average1998: −11 vs the 30-year average1999: +7 vs the 30-year average2000: +16 vs the 30-year average2001: +12 vs the 30-year average2002: +10 vs the 30-year average2003: −2 vs the 30-year average2004: −15 vs the 30-year average2005: +43 vs the 30-year average2006: +5 vs the 30-year average2007: +11 vs the 30-year average2008: −31 vs the 30-year average2009: −29 vs the 30-year average2010: −14 vs the 30-year average2011: +6 vs the 30-year average2012: +39 vs the 30-year average2013: −10 vs the 30-year average2014: −26 vs the 30-year average2015: −24 vs the 30-year average2016: −11 vs the 30-year average2017: +5 vs the 30-year average2018: +25 vs the 30-year average2019: −12 vs the 30-year average2020: −8 vs the 30-year average2021: −7 vs the 30-year average2022: +19 vs the 30-year average2023: +17 vs the 30-year average2024: +15 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

6 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +12 vs the 30-year average1996: +18 vs the 30-year average1997: +13 vs the 30-year average1998: −29 vs the 30-year average1999: −6 vs the 30-year average2000: +0 vs the 30-year average2001: +1 vs the 30-year average2002: +11 vs the 30-year average2003: +2 vs the 30-year average2004: −4 vs the 30-year average2005: −6 vs the 30-year average2006: −7 vs the 30-year average2007: +6 vs the 30-year average2008: +12 vs the 30-year average2009: −6 vs the 30-year average2010: −9 vs the 30-year average2011: −5 vs the 30-year average2012: −11 vs the 30-year average2013: +21 vs the 30-year average2014: +14 vs the 30-year average2015: −13 vs the 30-year average2016: −11 vs the 30-year average2017: −13 vs the 30-year average2018: +23 vs the 30-year average2019: +14 vs the 30-year average2020: +4 vs the 30-year average2021: −7 vs the 30-year average2022: +4 vs the 30-year average2023: −14 vs the 30-year average2024: −26 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −4% vs the 30-year average1996: +3% vs the 30-year average1997: −2% vs the 30-year average1998: −4% vs the 30-year average1999: +1% vs the 30-year average2000: +3% vs the 30-year average2001: −2% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: +3% vs the 30-year average2005: −4% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: +5% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −4% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: +1% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: +3% vs the 30-year average2015: +1% vs the 30-year average2016: −4% vs the 30-year average2017: +3% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: +1% vs the 30-year average2020: −4% vs the 30-year average2021: −2% vs the 30-year average2022: +7% vs the 30-year average2023: −6% vs the 30-year average2024: +1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.9°F−17+12−4%
1996−2.6°F−6+18+3%
1997−1.7°F+6+13−2%
1998+1.7°F−11−29−4%
1999+0.4°F+7−6+1%
2000−0.3°F+16+0+3%
2001+0.6°F+12+1−2%
2002−0.1°F+10+11+1%
2003−0.6°F−2+2+1%
2004−0.1°F−15−4+3%
2005+1.2°F+43−6−4%
2006+1.2°F+5−7+1%
2007+0.6°F+11+6+3%
2008−2.4°F−31+12+5%
2009−2.3°F−29−6+1%
2010−0.1°F−14−9−4%
2011+0.3°F+6−5+1%
2012+3.5°F+39−11+1%
2013−1.5°F−10+21+1%
2014−3.3°F−26+14+3%
2015+0.1°F−24−13+1%
2016+1.3°F−11−11−4%
2017+1.7°F+5−13+3%
2018+0.1°F+25+23−2%
2019−0.8°F−12+14+1%
2020+0.1°F−8+4−4%
2021+0.6°F−7−7−2%
2022−0.6°F+19+4+7%
2023+2.2°F+17−14−6%
2024+2.8°F+15−26+1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Peoria, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Peoria?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±0.9 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F95±1.6 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°70° to 75°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±6°72° to 78°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±2°72° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°71° to 72°±9%1% to 10% chance
Wed±2°73° to 76°±11%6% to 17% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Peoria

today, local time
Sunrise
07:19
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
10h 45m

Common questions

What's the weather in Peoria today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Peoria's high today between 70° and 75°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 75°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Peoria today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Peoria on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (NWS 2%, American 2%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Peoria?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Peoria (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Peoria?
July is typically the warmest month in Peoria, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Peoria get?
The coldest month in Peoria is January, when overnight lows average about 20°F.
How much rain does Peoria get?
Peoria sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
Is Peoria getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Peoria, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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