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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Pearl City weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Pearl City today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 83°, with a 42% chance of rain.

84°69°
83°70°
84°67°
77°67°
79°73°
79°74°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaymodels agree
AmericanNOAA GFS
73°
Overcast
Feels 76° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 80%
EuropeanECMWF
69°
Mainly clear
Feels 73° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 92%

Latest for Pearl City: American (NOAA GFS): 73° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 69° Mainly clear.

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Pearl City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Pearl City weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Pearl City swings 21°F across the year, from 85°F highs in August to 64°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 34 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 337 days a year at 77°F or above, 50 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 137 days.

Warmest month
August
85°F average high
Coldest month
January
64°F average low
Wettest month
December
34 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and March
Residents
48,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
83/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
337 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
137 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Pearl City’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Pearl City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Pearl City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Pearl City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
84° 69°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
83° 70°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
84° 67°
models agree
Tue
Showers
77° 67°
±6°
Wed
Showers
79° 73°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
79° 74°
models agree
Fri
Heavy drizzle
80° 73°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
82° 72°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
81° 72°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
80° 72°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
78° 72°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
78° 72°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
81° 71°
models agree

Pearl City, Hawaii (HI) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 64°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Pearl City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Pearl City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
78°
64°
Feb
77°
66°
Mar
78°
66°
Apr
79°
68°
May
80°
69°
Jun
82°
70°
Jul
84°
71°
Aug
85°
72°
Sep
85°
71°
Oct
85°
70°
Nov
81°
69°
Dec
78°
65°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Pearl City has changed since 1995

Pearl City sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Honolulu. That square ran 1.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Honolulu page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Pearl City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F95±1.5 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F84±4.8 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°84° to 85°±13%34% to 47% chance
Tomorrow±1°82° to 83°±1%41% to 42% chance
Monmodels agree84° to 84°±9%26% to 35% chance
Tue±6°74° to 80°±24%63% to 87% chance
Wed±7°75° to 82°±16%74% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Pearl City

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
11h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in Pearl City today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Pearl City today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 83°, with a 42% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Pearl City today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Pearl City on Sunday, October 25: American 41%, European 42%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 47%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Pearl City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Pearl City (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Pearl City?
August is typically the warmest month in Pearl City, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Pearl City get?
The coldest month in Pearl City is January, when overnight lows average about 64°F.
How much rain does Pearl City get?
Pearl City sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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