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CheckWeather USPaterson
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Paterson weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Paterson today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 76°, with a 55% chance of rain.

79°66°
76°63°
78°59°
83°61°
85°67°
80°69°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Partly cloudy
Today 79°·Low 66°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Mostly clear
Today 79°·Low 66°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 67°·Rain 37%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Paterson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
79° 66°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
76° 63°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
78° 59°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
83° 61°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
85° 67°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
80° 69°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
79° 64°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
80° 62°
±10°
Sun
Partly cloudy
84° 66°
±9°
Mon
Drizzle
87° 69°
±17°
Tue
Drizzle
81° 65°
±25°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
74° 61°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
76° 60°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
71° 61°
±8°

Paterson, NJ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 28°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Paterson right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Paterson climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
30°
Feb
46°
28°
Mar
51°
34°
Apr
63°
43°
May
72°
51°
Jun
81°
61°
Jul
86°
68°
Aug
82°
65°
Sep
76°
59°
Oct
68°
49°
Nov
55°
38°
Dec
45°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Paterson?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F94±1.9 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°78° to 79°±36%1% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±3°74° to 77°±48%7% to 55% chance
Mon±1°78° to 79°±7%0% to 7% chance
Tue±3°81° to 84°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±3°83° to 87°models agree11% to 11% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Paterson

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Paterson today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Paterson today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Paterson today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Paterson and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Paterson?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Paterson (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Paterson?
July is typically the warmest month in Paterson, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Paterson get?
The coldest month in Paterson is February, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Paterson get?
Paterson sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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