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Pasadena weekend weather

This weekend in Pasadena, CA, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 98° across the weekend. Agreement is low — the weekend is genuinely up in the air at this range.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Mostly clear
High 95°·Low 69°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
101°
Clear
High 101°·Low 81°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
104°
Clear
High 104°·Low 82°·Rain 0%

The models are 9° apart on this day. That is genuine uncertainty — any app showing you a single confident number is hiding it.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
93°
Mostly clear
High 93°·Low 69°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Cloudy
High 98°·Low 80°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
102°
Clear
High 102°·Low 82°·Rain 0%

The models are 9° apart on this day. That is genuine uncertainty — any app showing you a single confident number is hiding it.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°89° to 96°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±9°93° to 102°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sat±9°95° to 104°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±9°93° to 102°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±8°91° to 98°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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