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Orcutt weather

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Orcutt weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Orcutt weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Orcutt swings 36°F across the year, from 77°F highs in September to 41°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 17 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 70 days a year at 77°F or above, 16 of them at 86°F or above, 1 frost night, and rain on 41 days.

Warmest month
September
77°F average high
Coldest month
December
41°F average low
Wettest month
February
17 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
29,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
70 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
1 night
a year below 32°F
Rain days
41 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Orcutt’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Orcutt and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Orcutt hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Orcutt 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Orcutt, California (CA) is at its warmest in Sep (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 41°F), with roughly 17 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Orcutt right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Orcutt climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
61°
43°
Feb
62°
43°
Mar
62°
46°
Apr
66°
47°
May
67°
51°
Jun
71°
53°
Jul
75°
53°
Aug
76°
54°
Sep
77°
56°
Oct
76°
50°
Nov
70°
45°
Dec
63°
41°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Orcutt has changed since 1995

Orcutt sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Santa Maria. That square ran 0.9°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Santa Maria page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Orcutt?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
78±2.2°F96±1.3 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
85
/100rank #2
64±3.6°F98±0.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Orcutt today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Orcutt today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Orcutt today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Orcutt and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Orcutt?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Orcutt (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Orcutt?
September is typically the warmest month in Orcutt, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does Orcutt get?
The coldest month in Orcutt is December, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Orcutt get?
Orcutt sees roughly 17 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

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