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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Orange weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Orange's high today between 74° and 80°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°56°
80°58°
80°62°
78°60°
76°61°
74°61°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
57°
Clear
Feels 58° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
59°
Clear
Feels 59° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 84%
EuropeanECMWF
57°
Clear
Feels 57° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 88%

Latest for Orange: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 57° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 59° Clear · European (ECMWF): 57° Clear.

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Orange weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Orange…

Orange weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Orange swings 40°F across the year, from 85°F highs in August to 45°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 12 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 162 days a year at 77°F or above, 54 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 34 days.

Warmest month
August
85°F average high
Coldest month
December
45°F average low
Wettest month
February
12 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
141,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
162 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
34 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Orange’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Orange and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Orange hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Orange 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
77° 56°
±6°
Tomorrow
Clear
80° 58°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
80° 62°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
78° 60°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
76° 61°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
74° 61°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
71° 62°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
70° 61°
±6°
Sun
Light rain
73° 61°
±14°
Mon
Drizzle
74° 62°
±15°
Tue
Light drizzle
75° 64°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
74° 60°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
75° 63°
models agree

Orange, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 45°F), with roughly 12 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Orange right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Orange climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
64°
48°
Feb
65°
49°
Mar
66°
51°
Apr
72°
52°
May
75°
58°
Jun
79°
60°
Jul
83°
59°
Aug
85°
63°
Sep
84°
64°
Oct
79°
55°
Nov
73°
52°
Dec
64°
45°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Orange has changed since 1995

Orange sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Los Angeles. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Los Angeles page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Orange?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F90±3.0 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°74° to 80°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±3°79° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°79° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°75° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°73° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Orange

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
18:06
Daylight
11h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Orange today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Orange's high today between 74° and 80°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 80°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Orange today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Orange on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Orange?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Orange (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Orange?
August is typically the warmest month in Orange, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Orange get?
The coldest month in Orange is December, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Orange get?
Orange sees roughly 12 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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