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Omaha weekend weather

This weekend in Omaha, NE, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 72° across the weekend. Agreement is medium - plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day. Rain chance reaches 62% on at least one model.

Tomorrow

2026-09-19 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Heavy drizzle
High 77°·Low 69°·Rain 34%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Cloudy
High 79°·Low 65°·Rain 34%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Showers
High 77°·Low 68°·Rain 61%

All 3 models land within 3° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-09-20 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
68°
Drizzle
High 68°·Low 63°·Rain 41%
AmericanNOAA GFS
65°
Light drizzle
High 65°·Low 61°·Rain 41%
EuropeanECMWF
66°
Light rain
High 66°·Low 63°·Rain 62%

All 3 models land within 3° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°88° to 93°±29%18% to 47% chance
Tomorrow±3°77° to 79°±27%34% to 61% chance
Sun±3°65° to 68°±21%41% to 62% chance
Mon±1°62° to 63°±6%46% to 52% chance
Tue±7°60° to 66°±1%3% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
At least one model puts the weekend rain chance as high as 62%. Weekend forecasts sit far enough ahead that models frequently disagree on showers - when they do, no single app can honestly tell you it will or will not rain.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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