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Omaha weekend weather

This weekend in Omaha, NE, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 60° across the weekend. Agreement is low - the weekend is genuinely up in the air at this range.

Sat

2026-11-07 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
56°
Partly cloudy
High 56°·Low 38°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
59°
Cloudy
High 59°·Low 43°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
62°
Cloudy
High 62°·Low 40°·Rain 6%

The models range from 56° to 62°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Sun

2026-11-08 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
57°
Mostly clear
High 57°·Low 41°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
65°
Mostly clear
High 65°·Low 45°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
55°
Mostly clear
High 55°·Low 41°·Rain 6%

The models are 10° apart on this day. That is genuine uncertainty — any app showing you a single confident number is hiding it.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°62° to 66°±26%74% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±4°49° to 54°±60%9% to 69% chance
Thu±2°52° to 55°±5%17% to 22% chance
Fri±4°52° to 56°±1%1% to 2% chance
Sat±7°56° to 62°±4%2% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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