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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Oak Lawn weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Oak Lawn's high today between 67° and 72°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 3% chance of rain.

70°49°
73°50°
65°53°
67°53°
73°55°
72°55°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
71°
Partly cloudy
Today 71°·Low 50°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
72°
Cloudy
Today 72°·Low 48°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
67°
Cloudy
Today 67°·Low 50°·Rain 0%
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Oak Lawn weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Oak Lawn weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Oak Lawn swings 63°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 18°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 97 days a year at 77°F or above, 30 of them at 86°F or above, 114 frost nights, and rain on 133 days.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
18°F average low
Wettest month
May
43 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
September and October
Residents
57,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
97 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
114 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
133 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Oak Lawn’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Oak Lawn and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Oak Lawn hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Oak Lawn 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
70° 49°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
73° 50°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
65° 53°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
67° 53°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
73° 55°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
72° 55°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
70° 54°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
71° 56°
±7°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
66° 56°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
61° 46°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
49° 42°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
53° 42°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
57° 45°
±13°

Oak Lawn, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 18°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Oak Lawn right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Oak Lawn climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
30°
18°
Feb
38°
20°
Mar
47°
30°
Apr
59°
38°
May
69°
47°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
81°
63°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
74°
56°
Oct
61°
44°
Nov
47°
33°
Dec
36°
24°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Oak Lawn has changed since 1995

Oak Lawn sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Hammond. That square ran 1.5°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Hammond page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Oak Lawn?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F94±1.8 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°67° to 72°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrow±6°70° to 76°±1%2% to 3% chance
Mon±2°64° to 67°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°65° to 68°±16%0% to 16% chance
Wed±2°72° to 74°±21%6% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Oak Lawn

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
17:55
Daylight
10h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Oak Lawn today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Oak Lawn's high today between 67° and 72°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 3% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Oak Lawn today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Oak Lawn on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 3% (NWS 3%, American 3%, European 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 3%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oak Lawn?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Oak Lawn (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Oak Lawn?
July is typically the warmest month in Oak Lawn, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Oak Lawn get?
The coldest month in Oak Lawn is January, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Oak Lawn get?
Oak Lawn sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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