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CheckWeather USNovi
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Novi weather

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Drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Novi today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 75°, with a 2% chance of rain.

77°63°
75°59°
76°58°
80°60°
78°68°
78°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Drizzle
Today 76°·Low 63°·Rain 14%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Light rain
Today 77°·Low 64°·Rain 14%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Light drizzle
Today 77°·Low 62°·Rain 92%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Novi and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
77° 63°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
75° 59°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
76° 58°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
80° 60°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
78° 68°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
78° 63°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
78° 58°
±8°
Sat
Partly cloudy
81° 62°
±5°
Sun
Showers
84° 64°
±12°
Mon
Light drizzle
75° 60°
±17°
Tue
Light drizzle
71° 54°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
70° 52°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
72° 54°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
74° 56°
models agree

Novi, MI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Novi right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Novi climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
24°
Feb
42°
25°
Mar
46°
30°
Apr
59°
40°
May
72°
50°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
81°
64°
Aug
79°
62°
Sep
74°
58°
Oct
62°
47°
Nov
49°
36°
Dec
40°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Novi?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
67
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F95±1.4 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°76° to 77°±78%14% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±2°74° to 76°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±3°74° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°79° to 82°±1%3% to 4% chance
Wed±9°73° to 82°±19%34% to 53% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Novi

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
20:01
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Novi today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Novi today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Novi today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Novi and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Novi?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Novi (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Novi?
July is typically the warmest month in Novi, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Novi get?
The coldest month in Novi is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Novi get?
Novi sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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