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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Normal weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Normal's high today between 69° and 74°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 75°, with a 2% chance of rain.

72°49°
75°51°
73°53°
71°52°
74°54°
75°55°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Partly cloudy
Today 73°·Low 49°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 49°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
69°
Cloudy
Today 69°·Low 51°·Rain 0%
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Normal weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Normal…

Normal weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Normal swings 63°F across the year, from 83°F highs in June to 20°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 41 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 112 days a year at 77°F or above, 32 of them at 86°F or above, 104 frost nights, and rain on 119 days.

Warmest month
June
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
20°F average low
Wettest month
May
41 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
54,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
112 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
104 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
119 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Normal’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Normal and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Normal hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Normal 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
72° 49°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
75° 51°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
73° 53°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
71° 52°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
74° 54°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
75° 55°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
73° 54°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
70° 55°
±9°
Sun
Rain
67° 54°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
62° 45°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
52° 41°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
54° 41°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
59° 44°
±17°

Normal, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 20°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Normal right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Normal climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
33°
20°
Feb
40°
21°
Mar
50°
31°
Apr
61°
40°
May
73°
52°
Jun
83°
63°
Jul
83°
65°
Aug
81°
64°
Sep
75°
57°
Oct
63°
45°
Nov
49°
34°
Dec
37°
25°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Normal has changed since 1995

Normal sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Bloomington. That square ran 1.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Bloomington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Normal?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.5 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F95±1.4 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°69° to 74°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±6°71° to 77°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±4°71° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°70° to 73°±7%1% to 8% chance
Wed±3°73° to 76°±9%5% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Normal

today, local time
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
10h 46m

Common questions

What's the weather in Normal today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Normal's high today between 69° and 74°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 75°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Normal today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Normal on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (NWS 2%, American 2%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Normal?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Normal (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Normal?
June is typically the warmest month in Normal, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Normal get?
The coldest month in Normal is January, when overnight lows average about 20°F.
How much rain does Normal get?
Normal sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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