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CheckWeather USNew Orleans
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

New Orleans weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put New Orleans's high today between 84° and 89°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 89°, with a 61% chance of rain.

87°77°
89°77°
92°79°
91°80°
88°80°
88°78°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±12°Wednesdaysplit ±10°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Showers
Today 87°·Low 78°·Rain 34%
AmericanNOAA GFS
89°
Heavy drizzle
Today 89°·Low 77°·Rain 34%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Thunderstorm
Today 84°·Low 77°·Rain 99%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around New Orleans and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
87° 77°
±6°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
89° 77°
±4°
Mon
Thunderstorm
92° 79°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
91° 80°
±12°
Wed
Thunderstorm
88° 80°
±10°
Thu
Drizzle
88° 78°
±7°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
90° 78°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
91° 78°
±12°
Sun
Thunderstorm
90° 80°
±15°
Mon
Thunderstorm
90° 79°
±8°
Tue
Drizzle
89° 79°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
88° 78°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
88° 77°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
88° 77°
±7°

New Orleans, LA is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 49°F), with roughly 62 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for New Orleans right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

New Orleans climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
49°
Feb
68°
55°
Mar
72°
59°
Apr
77°
64°
May
85°
72°
Jun
89°
76°
Jul
90°
79°
Aug
94°
81°
Sep
86°
75°
Oct
80°
66°
Nov
71°
61°
Dec
63°
52°

Which forecast is most accurate in New Orleans?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
84±1.6°F97±0.9 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F92±2.4 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°84° to 89°±65%34% to 99% chance
Tomorrow±4°87° to 91°±52%9% to 61% chance
Mon±7°89° to 96°±8%33% to 41% chance
Tue±12°86° to 98°±18%63% to 81% chance
Wed±10°83° to 93°±30%62% to 92% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in New Orleans

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
19:18
Daylight
12h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in New Orleans today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for New Orleans today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in New Orleans today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for New Orleans and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for New Orleans?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for New Orleans (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in New Orleans?
August is typically the warmest month in New Orleans, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does New Orleans get?
The coldest month in New Orleans is January, when overnight lows average about 49°F.
How much rain does New Orleans get?
New Orleans sees roughly 62 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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