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CheckWeather USMuncie
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Muncie weather

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Showers,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 86° in Muncie today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 76°, with a 2% chance of rain.

86°69°
76°63°
79°59°
85°63°
89°71°
77°64°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
86°
Showers
Today 86°·Low 71°·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
86°
Cloudy
Today 86°·Low 67°·Rain 25%
EuropeanECMWF
86°
Thunderstorm
Today 86°·Low 69°·Rain 79%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Muncie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
86° 69°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
76° 63°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
79° 59°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
85° 63°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
89° 71°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
77° 64°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
80° 58°
±9°
Sat
Mostly clear
82° 63°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
86° 67°
±10°
Mon
Drizzle
79° 63°
±19°
Tue
Light drizzle
72° 55°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
69° 50°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
70° 50°
±5°
Fri
Clear
71° 51°
models agree

Muncie, IN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 26°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Muncie right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Muncie climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
38°
26°
Feb
48°
29°
Mar
52°
34°
Apr
63°
43°
May
73°
54°
Jun
80°
61°
Jul
82°
65°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
78°
59°
Oct
66°
48°
Nov
53°
38°
Dec
43°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Muncie?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F95±1.7 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°86° to 86°±54%25% to 79% chance
Tomorrow±2°76° to 77°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±2°78° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°83° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°86° to 92°±11%15% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Muncie

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
20:07
Daylight
12h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Muncie today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Muncie today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Muncie today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Muncie and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Muncie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Muncie (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Muncie?
July is typically the warmest month in Muncie, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Muncie get?
The coldest month in Muncie is January, when overnight lows average about 26°F.
How much rain does Muncie get?
Muncie sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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