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CheckWeather USMontgomery
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Montgomery weather

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Heavy showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Montgomery's high today between 84° and 89°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 96°, with a 35% chance of rain.

86°76°
96°75°
95°75°
91°74°
91°74°
92°75°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Heavy showers
Today 89°·Low 76°·Rain 62%
AmericanNOAA GFS
84°
Light drizzle
Today 84°·Low 77°·Rain 62%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Thunderstorm
Today 85°·Low 75°·Rain 97%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Montgomery and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy showers
86° 76°
±6°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
96° 75°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
95° 75°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
91° 74°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
91° 74°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
92° 75°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
91° 74°
±5°
Sat
Drizzle
93° 74°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
94° 75°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
94° 75°
±11°
Tue
Light drizzle
91° 73°
±10°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
89° 71°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
90° 67°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
91° 67°
±6°

Montgomery, AL is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 41°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Montgomery right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Montgomery climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
59°
41°
Feb
67°
47°
Mar
70°
50°
Apr
77°
56°
May
84°
64°
Jun
90°
70°
Jul
92°
74°
Aug
94°
74°
Sep
87°
69°
Oct
79°
58°
Nov
69°
51°
Dec
61°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Montgomery?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F95±1.5 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
57
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F91±2.8 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°84° to 89°±35%62% to 97% chance
Tomorrow±3°94° to 97°±25%10% to 35% chance
Mon±5°93° to 98°±31%34% to 65% chance
Tue±4°90° to 93°±24%17% to 41% chance
Wed±4°89° to 93°±31%15% to 46% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Montgomery

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
19:04
Daylight
12h 41m

Common questions

What's the weather in Montgomery today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Montgomery today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Montgomery today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Montgomery and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Montgomery?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Montgomery (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 57. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Montgomery?
August is typically the warmest month in Montgomery, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Montgomery get?
The coldest month in Montgomery is January, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Montgomery get?
Montgomery sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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