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CheckWeather USMonroe
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Monroe weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 96° in Monroe today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 99°, with a 11% chance of rain.

96°74°
99°76°
100°78°
101°75°
98°76°
97°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Light drizzle
Today 95°·Low 76°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Partly cloudy
Today 97°·Low 74°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
97°
Heavy drizzle
Today 97°·Low 73°·Rain 71%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Monroe and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
96° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
99° 76°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
100° 78°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
101° 75°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
98° 76°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
97° 76°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
98° 76°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
98° 75°
±8°
Sun
Mostly clear
98° 75°
±9°
Mon
Mostly clear
96° 75°
±13°
Tue
Mostly clear
91° 74°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
88° 68°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
90° 63°
models agree
Fri
Clear
92° 63°
models agree

Monroe, LA is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 97°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 40°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Monroe right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Monroe climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
40°
Feb
65°
47°
Mar
70°
51°
Apr
76°
57°
May
85°
66°
Jun
92°
73°
Jul
93°
76°
Aug
97°
77°
Sep
89°
70°
Oct
82°
60°
Nov
70°
52°
Dec
62°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Monroe?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F96±1.2 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F93±2.2 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°95° to 97°±65%6% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±2°98° to 100°±1%10% to 11% chance
Mon±1°99° to 101°±1%7% to 8% chance
Tue±6°99° to 104°±5%7% to 12% chance
Wed±5°96° to 101°±25%2% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Monroe

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:28
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Monroe today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Monroe today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Monroe today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Monroe and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Monroe?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Monroe (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Monroe?
August is typically the warmest month in Monroe, with average highs around 97°F.
How cold does Monroe get?
The coldest month in Monroe is January, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Monroe get?
Monroe sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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