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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Mobile weather

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Thunderstorm,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 89° in Mobile today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 91°, with a 70% chance of rain.

89°76°
91°76°
92°78°
90°77°
89°76°
89°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±10°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Thunderstorm
Today 88°·Low 77°·Rain 32%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Cloudy
Today 90°·Low 75°·Rain 32%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Thunderstorm
Today 90°·Low 76°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mobile and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Thunderstorm
89° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
91° 76°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
92° 78°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
90° 77°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
89° 76°
±10°
Thu
Light drizzle
89° 77°
models agree
Fri
Thunderstorm
89° 76°
models agree
Sat
Thunderstorm
90° 77°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
88° 78°
±12°
Mon
Drizzle
92° 77°
±5°
Tue
Thunderstorm
91° 76°
±9°
Wed
Light drizzle
90° 71°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
90° 71°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
90° 68°
±5°

Mobile, AL is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 45°F), with roughly 56 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mobile right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mobile climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
45°
Feb
67°
51°
Mar
71°
55°
Apr
76°
60°
May
84°
69°
Jun
91°
74°
Jul
92°
76°
Aug
98°
78°
Sep
89°
72°
Oct
82°
62°
Nov
72°
56°
Dec
63°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mobile?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.3 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F92±2.5 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°88° to 90°±66%32% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°90° to 92°±57%13% to 70% chance
Mon±4°89° to 93°±28%56% to 84% chance
Tue±7°88° to 95°±27%40% to 67% chance
Wed±10°84° to 94°±35%55% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mobile

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
19:10
Daylight
12h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mobile today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Mobile today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mobile today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Mobile and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mobile?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mobile (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mobile?
August is typically the warmest month in Mobile, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does Mobile get?
The coldest month in Mobile is January, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Mobile get?
Mobile sees roughly 56 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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